Session 1
Framing evidence, judgment, and the forecasting problem.
This opening session matters because it establishes the intellectual contract for technology intelligence: how evidence becomes judgment. Building on the course overview and syllabus, it positions forecasting as a studio practice rather than a one-off prediction. We connect diffusion logic and S-curves to the kinds of strategic questions students will face all semester. Students produce a one-page forecasting scope statement that clarifies domain boundaries and assumptions. Skills developed include differentiating exploratory versus normative approaches and articulating a defensible forecasting frame. This foundation sets the vocabulary that later data, network, and NLP labs will operationalize.
Submission for this session
Next session
Session 2: Publication and Patent Data Collection